DBM Weekly Review: Weak Expectation, Weak Reality, Low Silicon Price Decline (2026.6.5)

2026-06-08 15:24:57

Last week, the average price of N-type polycrystalline silicon dense materials was 33400 yuan/ton, down 0.89% on a month-on-month basis and 10.93% on a year-on-year basis; the average price of N-type granular silicon was 34000 yuan/ton, down 0.87% on a month-on-month basis and 1.45% on a year-on-year basis, and the price of mainstream silicon materials continued to decline.

First, the price trend

of silicon materials last week, the average price of N-type polysilicon dense materials was 33400 yuan/ton, down 0.89% annually and 10.93% year-on-year; The average price of N-type granular silicon was 34000 yuan/ton, down 0.87% from the previous month, down 1.45% from the previous year, and the price of mainstream silicon materials continued to decline. During the week, the operating rate of polysilicon continued to rise slightly, the output continued to increase, and the inventory shifted downstream. The polysilicon market continued the pattern of weak expectation and weak reality, and the spot price declined in both directions.

Figure 1: Price Trend

DBM周评:弱预期弱现实,硅料价格低位下行(2026.6.5)1

of N-type Polysilicon Compact Material Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 2: Price Trend

DBM周评:弱预期弱现实,硅料价格低位下行(2026.6.5)2

of N-type Granular Silicon Source: Digital New Energy Dat ABM. Com

2, Demand and Price Outlook

Digital New Energy DataBM. Com data show that the price index of TOPCon double-sided 182 photovoltaic modules was 0.73 yuan/W last week, which was the same as last week. The price index of TOPCon double-sided 210 PV modules was 0.75 yuan/W, flat on a month-on-month basis, up 10.29% on a year-on-year basis; the price index of TOPCon double-sided 210R PV modules was 0.75 yuan/W, flat on a month-on-month basis, up 10.29% on a year-on-year basis; The price index of HJT double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules was 0.74 yuan/W, which was flat. The southern region is rainy, household installation is slowing down, end users are purchasing in small batches, downstream wait-and-see sentiment is strong, and component prices are temporarily stable.

Table 1: Last Friday's Photovoltaic Module Price Index (CPMPI)

DBM周评:弱预期弱现实,硅料价格低位下行(2026.6.5)3

Data Source: Digital New Energy DataBM. Com

Figure 3: Trend of

DBM周评:弱预期弱现实,硅料价格低位下行(2026.6.5)4

Photovoltaic Module Price Index in the Past Month Data Source: Cement Big Data (HTTPS ://data. Ccement. Com/)

Last week, the price of industrial silicon continued to be stable. The average price of Si4210 industrial silicon was 9487 yuan/ton, which remained flat on a month-on-month basis. During the week, the number of industrial silicon furnaces in Southwest China increased significantly, the downstream demand performance was flat, and enterprises were still accumulating, but there was cost support for the rise in coal prices, and spot prices remained stable. In terms of

polysilicon, from the supply side, the pressure on the supply side is expected to continue to increase with the arrival of the wet season, the decrease of the cost of electricity and the strong willingness of the enterprises to resume production in the early stage. On the demand side, the price of downstream products is relatively stable, the inventory of enterprises has increased, the operating rate has rebounded, and the purchase of polysilicon has improved. Overall, the supply and demand margins have improved, but the strength is insufficient, coupled with weak market expectations and high inventory suppression, the price upward lacks momentum, and it is expected that the price of polysilicon will continue to fluctuate weakly next week (6.8-6.12).

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Correlation

Last week, the average price of N-type polycrystalline silicon dense materials was 33400 yuan/ton, down 0.89% on a month-on-month basis and 10.93% on a year-on-year basis; the average price of N-type granular silicon was 34000 yuan/ton, down 0.87% on a month-on-month basis and 1.45% on a year-on-year basis, and the price of mainstream silicon materials continued to decline.

2026-06-08 15:24:57

Last week, the average price of N-type polycrystalline silicon dense materials was RMB/ton 33700, down 3.64% on a month-on-month basis and 10.13% on a year-on-year basis; the average price of N-type granular silicon was RMB/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis and slightly down 0.58% on a year-on-year basis, and the price of mainstream silicon materials continued to decline.

2026-06-02 14:01:15

Last week, the average price of N-type polysilicon dense material was 0.17 million yuan/ton 34973, down 2.85% on a month-on-month basis and 9.4% on a year-on-year basis; the average price of N-type granular silicon was 0.34 million yuan/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis and down 4.72% on a year-on-year basis, and the mainstream silicon material price re-entered the downward channel after a month of consolidation.

2026-05-25 15:29:41

Last week, the average price of N-type polycrystalline silicon dense materials was 36,000 yuan/ton, which remained stable on a month-on-month basis and decreased by 6.74% on a year-on-year basis; the average price of N-type granular silicon was 34,300 yuan/ton, which was flat on a month-on-month basis and decreased by 4.72% on a year-on-year basis.

2026-05-18 15:35:48

Last week, the price of silicon materials remained stable for nearly one and a half months, and the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon was flat. Polysilicon production is reduced and inventory is slightly reduced, but demand is weak. Demand for components is low and prices are under downward pressure. Industrial silicon has stopped falling and stabilized, and is expected to be stable and strong in the short term. Polysilicon inventory is high, the price is weak and difficult to fall significantly, and it is in a stalemate. Prices of silicon wafers and batteries have fallen, and enterprises plan to reduce production. The principled terms of polysilicon storage have been agreed, which will be conducive to the stability of the industrial chain, alleviate the debt risk of related companies and provide reference for other industries.

2025-11-10 11:40:26

Last week, the price of silicon materials showed different performances. The average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon was stable and rose year on year. The inventory of polysilicon rose, and the price depended on the price of enterprises. In terms of photovoltaic modules, some prices are loose, new orders are insufficient, and market demand is weak. The price of industrial silicon has stopped falling and stabilized, and demand is still weak. The inventory of polysilicon manufacturers may rise further, and the start-up rate of enterprises is stable, which does not exclude the reduction of start-up and stable prices. Silicon enterprises should adjust the production rhythm. The polysilicon storage platform has made progress, but the landing is slow, and it needs to be approved by the relevant departments.

2025-11-03 13:11:20

Last week, the price of silicon materials showed an upward trend. The average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose on a month-on-month and year-on-year basis. The price of polysilicon was raised, but the high price was less, and the downstream demand was weak. The price index of photovoltaic modules is mostly flat or slightly down, with weak demand, high inventory pressure and stable prices. The price of industrial silicon is temporarily stable after falling, the supply is sufficient and the production of polysilicon is expected to be reduced. The policy puts forward the target of revenue growth of electronic information manufacturing industry and guides the high-quality development of photovoltaic industry. The price of polysilicon continues to rise, the downstream is difficult to digest, and the market may face "monopoly doubts".

2025-09-08 14:05:44

Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon rose annually, while the price of polysilicon raw material industrial silicon continued to fall, a small amount of silicon wafer factories were stocked, the industry inventory was high, and the price of polysilicon enterprises was high. The price of TOPCon modules is stable, but the demand is cold, the inventory is rising, and the price index of HJT double-sided 210 photovoltaic modules is rising. The price of industrial silicon has fallen for two consecutive weeks, and the price of polysilicon is strong. In September this year, the demand for batteries and components increased seasonally or was lower than in previous years, and the downstream market was cautious. Short-term replenishment supports the price of polysilicon, but the impulse of enterprises to resume production and expand production is still there, or pressure on the downstream, suggesting that the downstream should be alert to risks.

2025-09-01 17:44:20

Last week, the average price of N-type silicon materials and N-type granular silicon was flat, while the market demand for polysilicon did not improve and the inventory rose. The price index of photovoltaic modules has risen and flattened, and the supply is sufficient, but the quotation of first-line manufacturers has been raised. The price of industrial silicon has been restored, but the demand is still insufficient, and the price of silicon wafers is temporarily stable. Polysilicon enterprises are more willing to increase production, but the space for substantial production reduction is low, and it may be weak and stable in the later period. Overseas polysilicon production capacity continues to grow, domestic polysilicon has entered the ceiling of growth, and the price of polysilicon may fluctuate in the short and medium term.

2025-08-18 19:07:11

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 67,800 yuan/ton, down 0.29% on a month-on-month basis; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, flat on a month-on-month basis, down 75% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-25 14:01:48

Last week, the average transaction price of N-type silicon materials was 68,000 yuan/ton, down 0.15% on a month-on-month basis, maintaining a slight weakening trend, and the price was still not stable; the average transaction price of monocrystalline dense materials was 60,500 yuan/ton, down 1.63% on a month-on-month basis and 79% on a year-on-year basis.

2023-12-19 10:47:42

It is reported that Yunnan Jianfeng Dazhan Cement Co., Ltd. plans to invest 997 million yuan to build a new dry cement production line with a daily output of 4000 tons of clinker. The kiln tail is equipped with double-series six-stage low-pressure loss cyclone preheater and TDF calciner, and supporting construction of pure low-temperature waste heat power generation system, desulfurization and denitrification system, etc.