Mexico's Ministry of Energy (Sener) added 6.4G W to 9.5G W of renewable energy capacity, while maintaining the state-owned Federal Electricity Commission (CFE) market share above 54% and stabilizing the grid through measures such as integrating energy storage and generation efficiency.
Recently, according to foreign media reports, Mexico's Ministry of Energy issued the "2025-2030 National Power System Development Plan" (Prosener), which prioritizes renewable energy and energy storage to strengthen the country's power system. The plan is expected to add between 6.4GW and 9.55GW of new capacity, 96% of which will come from solar and wind; by 2030, the country is expected to generate 38% of its electricity from clean energy.
Prosener promotes the construction of power generation and energy storage projects by combining public investment with private participation, supporting measures such as energy efficiency improvement, technological innovation and electrification. In addition, the plan emphasizes improving grid flexibility through energy storage and backup systems to cope with intermittent output of renewable energy.
The plan retains natural gas as a regulated power source and proposes to expand and modernize natural gas transmission and distribution infrastructure to ensure gas supply for power plants and industry. Pemex will continue to operate its refining business on the premise of reducing fuel imports and improving refinery efficiency.
The Sener scheme maintains a hybrid electricity market model in which the Federal Power Commission (CFE) supplies at least 54% of the electricity generated by the grid, with the remainder supplied by private generators. The CFE report shows that 1.09 GW of distributed photovoltaic will be added in 2024, with a cumulative total of 4.42 GW at the end of the year. The growth forecast by
several analysts is higher than Sener benchmark. A report released by SolarPower Europe in August estimated that Mexico's photovoltaic installed capacity could reach 15.2 GW in 2028 and 17 GW in 2029; Ember pointed out that if 36 GW photovoltaic and 30 G Wh batteries were deployed, the proportion of renewable energy could be increased to 45% in 2030.
Prosener also plans hydropower, geothermal and biomass power generation to further diversify its energy mix. The plan includes optimizing existing hydropower capacity, expanding the scale of geothermal projects, and promoting the use of agricultural, forestry and industrial waste to generate electricity.
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